FORESEA2051
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Although seafood products account for only a small proportion of the protein consumed in France (around 15%), their high content of essential micronutrients means that we need to consider their future availability. Human activities are affecting the biogeography of species, the productivity of populations and the functioning of marine ecosystems. They should lead to an overall reduction in ocean biomass, fishing catches and aquaculture production between now and the end of the century. However, strong regional variations are expected, which are still poorly predicted by global models.
The FORESEA 2051 project aims to integrate knowledge from several disciplines at different scales, in order to produce scenarios for fisheries and aquaculture in France up to 2050, in the context of global change. The project combines prospective scenarios, expert analysis and marine ecosystem models to : i) describe the context of the seafood supply chain in France, from biodiversity to the market; ii) carry out projections of marine biodiversity, fisheries catches and French aquaculture production on the 3 French seaboards by 2050, in order to assess the contribution of seafood products to the national food supply, iii) explore the relationship between the nutritional value and non-biodiversity environmental impacts (carbon footprint, etc.) of seafood products, iv) assess the contribution of seafood products to the national food supply by 2050. ) of seafood products, iv) using the FORESEA scenarios, to specify how the seafood product supply envisaged in ADEME's Transition(s)2050 carbon neutrality scenarios could be ensured, and with what ecological impacts, in order to contribute to the updating of the Transition(s)2050 scenarios planned for 2026.
People involved
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DORAY Mathieu, Cadre de recherche Phone : 0240374165 Email : mathieu.doray[arobase]ifremer.fr |
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LEHUTA Sigrid, Phone : 0240374238 Email : sigrid.lehuta@ifremer.fr |
Funding and Support
Ce projet est cofinancé par l’ADEME (55%) et Ifremer (45%)